This website is your cyberspace introduction to financial cycles and political trends in the United States. It is inspired by my belief that America, with its open society and creative destruction of political affairs, has enormous untapped potential. This potential goes far beyond the as yet unwritten headlines of 2008. As such, this website is about much more than that year's election results.

America has always been the land of plenty and the land of possibilities. Its founding fathers were sworn to prosperity and democracy as they understood it. Their legacy is a system that allows itself to be reinvented and to keep up with modern times. This website is dedicated to those who would move this country towards a more perfect union.

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In a few decades an American astronaut will be the first human to visit another planet and billions of people around the world will marvel at yet another spectacular achievement of American industry and technology. This nation will also lead by example in 21st century Earthly matters as it reinvigorates its own democracy.

On July 2, 1960, a few weeks before that year's Democratic National Convention, former President Harry Truman, widely remembered today smiling in his "Dewey Defeats Truman" photo op, publicly stated that John F. Kennedy (age 43) was too young and inexperienced to be President of the United States. Indignant, the President to be gave this response: "This is a young country... founded by young men... and still young in heart... The world is changing... the old ways will not due... It is time for a new generation of leadership to cope with new problems and new opportunities."

Marcus Aurelius said that victory lies in the organization of the non-obvious. If financial cycles can be forecast, so too can social mood and electoral realignments. Of course, nothing is guaranteed.

An electoral realignment is a total makeover of America's political house. We had such makeovers in 1828, 1860 and 1932. Today, millions of Americans are demanding change to our political system; a change that transforms the revolving door, business as usual duopoly we know so well.

Since multiple-party democracy is not yet a reality in this country, Americans pin their hopes on powerful personalities within the duopoly.

In October, 2007, T he International Monetary Fund cut its forecasts for U.S. economic growth this year (2007) and next to just 1.9 %.... very bad news indeed for incumbent Republicans. To find out why this is so, please refer to the book offered on this website. Be forewarned: statistics, curves and graphs are used to show how economic data influences election outcomes. The data show that the Republican Party will probably lose the White House in 2008. Be advised that opinion poll data do not figure in these assessments. Indeed, opinion polls are unreliable as predictors of election outcomes until the week of the election.

Also included in the book is a timetable of financial downturns over the next 130 years. Unfortunately, it calls for a recession starting in 2008 and a severe bear market around 2014. This country will be in need of especially strong leadership and vision in the near future.

Under our current Electoral College system, the people's vote is essentially for entertainment purposes only; it carries no legal weight. In addition, few people participate in the party primaries and caucuses that select the candidates. The individual or organization that can shake up this system and tap into the huge reservoir of Americans outside the political process will get the keys to the White House and the Congress.

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